Last Time the Market Was This Expensive, Investors Waited 14 Years to Break Even
In 1999, the S&P 500 peaked. Then it took 14 years to gradually recover by 2013.
Today? Goldman Sachs sounds crazy forecasting 3% returns for 2024 to 2034.
But we’re currently seeing the highest price for the S&P 500 compared to earnings since the dot-com boom.
So, maybe that’s why they’re not alone; Vanguard projects about 5%.
In fact, now just about everything seems priced near all time highs. Equities, gold, crypto, etc.
But billionaires have long diversified a slice of their portfolios with one asset class that is poised to rebound.
It’s post war and contemporary art.
Sounds crazy, but over 70,000 investors have followed suit since 2019—with Masterworks.
You can invest in shares of artworks featuring Banksy, Basquiat, Picasso, and more.
24 exits later, results speak for themselves: net annualized returns like 14.6%, 17.6%, and 17.8%.*
My subscribers can skip the waitlist.
*Investing involves risk. Past performance is not indicative of future returns. Important Reg A disclosures: masterworks.com/cd.
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马修·麦康纳 (Matthew McConaughey) 在他的自传作品 Greenlights 里提到他年轻时候的一个故事:
20 岁那年,马修·麦康纳还在得克萨斯大学读法律预科,一切都朝着安全的律师职业前进。读完大二,他总觉得一切都不太对,他算了一下,等读完法律毕业出来就 26 岁了… 感觉有点太晚了。
他平时写日记的时候很爱写一些小故事,他也会把这些故事寄给一位他在纽约的朋友 Robb Bindler,这位朋友在 NYU 学电影。这位朋友觉得他写的故事很不错,就和他提要不要去学电影?
他被这个提议打动了,法律专业也越来越读不动,他决定转去读电影。
但他非常焦虑,不知道怎么把这件事告诉他那位性格强势的父亲……
终于,他鼓起勇气和他爸坦白了这件事,他爸停了五秒钟说:
Well… Don't half-ass it.
那就别做个半吊子。
后来麦康纳在书里写说,那一瞬间,他感觉他爸不仅给了他祝福,也给了他认可、自由和责任,很多好的感觉一下涌来。他爸的这句话把他点燃了,他把这称为自己的「火箭燃料」(rocket fuel)。
我们都有自己「正在做」的事,但心里可能还有一件你「想去做」的事或者叫「梦想」,但不是所有人都有勇气去迈出那一步或者收到来自他人的鼓励。
当我们选择的不是真正想做的,我们应该如何不盲目地、有策略性地去追逐自己真正想做的事情?
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